As`ad AbuKhalil says current U.S.-NATO strategic calculations are demoting Israel from its once central position and will leave the apartheid state increasingly reliant on new alliances with the U.A.E. and Saudi Arabia.
Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky joins NATO meeting in Madrid in June via video link. From left at table: Spain’s Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez, Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan; Boris Johnson, then U.K. prime minister, U.S. President Joe Biden and NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg. (President of Ukraine)
By As`ad AbuKhalil
Special to Consortium News
Western support for the Ukrainian war effort will have long-lasting consequences for U.S. foreign policy in the world. The impact will most certainly be felt in the Middle East region and especially in Israel.
But the U.S. and NATO’s generous economic and military aid for Ukraine’s war effort must be making Israel nervous.
Unlike Gulf regimes, which merely buy Western protection, Israel is dependent on U.S. military largesse for its salvation. Ukraine is today the ultimate Western cause: never has any state received such military aid from the West and no state has so galvanized Western public opinion. (Notice Western media’s disregard for the opinion of the people and governments of Africa, Asia and Latin America, who do not support the sanctions against Russia. Only Westerners’ opinions seem to count).
To be sure, Israel has since its inception received tremendous coverage and support from the West — and still does in the wake of World War II and the founding of the state of Israel atop the Palestinian homeland. Since then the U.S. — among other Western countries — has armed and financed Israel’s offensive wars.
The West supports Israel over the native Palestinian population for many reasons, including traditional Western Christian hostility to Islam and Arabs. But Israel may be nervous that Ukraine has displaced it as the West’s most favored nation.
Israel’s status among Western countries has suffered greatly over the decades, but the U.S. prevents that decline from affecting Western policies in support of Israeli occupation and aggression.
The E.U. tried in the 1970s to forge a different foreign policy toward the Palestinian question. But by the 1980s, the U.S. — especially after the Iraq war of 1991 — imposed adherence and subservience on all Western allies.
U.S. President Joe Biden meeting Israeli Prime Minister Yair Lapid on July 14 at the Waldorf Astoria in Jerusalem. (White House, Adam Schultz)
Washington has ensured that Western policies toward the Middle East follow U.S. dictates: France was the last Western government to try to push for a different policy from the U.S. in 2003 when the U.S. invaded Iraq, but Paris quickly changed course and has been trying to make up for its lapse ever since.
As another example, Canada, which used to adopt a friendly policy towards the Palestinians, became as rigid in its advocacy of Zionism as the U.S. and is even worse than the U.S. in policing pro-Palestinian rhetoric and debate (very much like Germany) in the media and in academia.
Israel’s Tarnished Image
Israel’s decline in standing started after 1967 and has continued ever since, affecting public attitudes. There is (documented) public support for Palestinians among most Western countries, but those governments don’t allow public opinion to influence government policies in the Middle East.
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Jeremy Corbyn, the former British Labour leader, was an example of a dominant Western opposition leader who was punished for respecting the foreign policy wishes of his own party.
The reasons for the decline of Israel’s standing among the Western public include — but are not confined to:
- the rise of Israeli military might and the expressed U.S. policy of guaranteeing Israeli military superiority against any combination of Arab armies;
- the revelations since the 1980s regarding the Israeli arsenal of WMDs, including its nuclear weapons;
- the loss of Zionist control of Western media narratives and the wide access available to people on social media to access Palestinian perspectives, despite the corporate pressures to censor Palestinian perspective and footage of Israeli atrocities from social media;
- the exposure of the reality of Israeli racism and brutality which was hidden until 1977 (when Likud took over the government) behind socialistic slogans and quasi-liberal rhetoric;
- the demise of the PLO revealed that Israeli opposition and hostility is not directed to this or that political or military organization but to the very existence of Palestinian nationhood;
- the drastic shift in Israeli politics toward the fascistic right made it difficult for dominant liberal parties in the West to continue in their traditional support for Israel. Of course, those parties have continued to support Israel but their mass base has shifted away from Zionism;
- the release of various Israeli documents from official archives in which the Palestinian narrative about the Nakbah has been validated and bolstered;
- the persistent Israeli resort to mass violence with little regard to conventions on war or minimum human rights standards;
- the arrogance of recent Israeli leaders in their dealing with Western policies shifted the status of Israel in the public mind; former Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s direct challenge to then U.S. President Barack Obama regarding the Iran nuclear agreement offended the liberal base of the Democratic Party; and Israel’s close relations with the fascist right in the West hurt its standing among Western liberals.
Jan. 12, 2012: President Barack Obama on phone with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. (White House, Pete Souza)
Shifting Attention
In 2016, the Obama administration signed a deal with Israel in which the apartheid state was guaranteed $38 billion in aid over the next decade. The U.S. Congress, typically, manages to add additional gifts to Israel in various bills.
But the level of congressional support for Ukraine will remind Israel that the U.S. has shifted attention elsewhere and a new Cold War is being fomented. The scale of U.S. (and overall Western) military and economic aid to Ukraine is at a level never seen before; and that must cause Israel concern.
The U.S. is most concerned about the rise of Chinese and — to a lesser extent — Russian power, which is increasing the centrality of Taiwan and Ukraine, respectively, in U.S. foreign policy calculations. That Ukraine has been receiving tens of billions in military and economic aid, and that U.S. congressional delegations are willing to openly challenge China with repeated visits to Taiwan reveal a scale of new interest outside of the Middle East.
The U.S. is now depleting its own military supplies (especially in the HIMARS long range missile systems) in order to strengthen Ukrainian military capabilities. If Israel were to engage Iran in war, it is unlikely that it will benefit from the air lifts that it customarily enjoyed over the decades in its serial wars against Arabs.
Congressional and public opinion are more likely to favor Ukraine and Taiwan because — the argument goes — U.S. vital interests are more at stake. The centrality of Israel in the Cold War era has all but vanished in strategic calculations. The notion that Mossad was helping the U.S. in its covert work against the U.S.S.R. has become obsolete.
Mossad no longer holds as much sway in the West regarding its value: the U.S., in its fight against what it calls “terrorist groups,” can rely not only on its own massive intelligence apparatus but also on that of Arab countries, which were of no use to the U.S. during the Cold War when many of them were aligned with the U.S.S.R.
Israeli ground forces in August during an IDF air strikes campaign against Gaza. (IDF)
What is most alarming for Israel is that the conflict over Ukraine and Taiwan are not conflicts that will go away in a matter of months; this is not like the war over Belgrade, or the war in Afghanistan.
The U.S. is clearly committed to a very long-haul conflict, and a Cold War of sorts, with Russia and China that will require more allocation of funds and arms to those two regions of the world. Since the U.S. dominates most Arab countries and destroys those it can’t dominate (like Syria, Iraq, Libya, Lebanon and Yemen), Israel can no longer make the argument that its enemies (whether Hamas or Hizbullah) are also enemies of the U.S., posing a mortal danger to U.S. national interests.
To be sure, the U.S. Congress adopts all enmities that are announced by Israel, but there will likely now be limits to how far the U.S. will go in terms of translating its solidarity with Israel.
Reliance on Arab Allies
In light of this changing world environment, Israel will increasingly be relying on its new friendship and alliance with the U.A.E. and Saudi Arabia. Israel will be compelled to display more support and assistance for the cause of preservation of both regimes.
U.S. President Joe Biden’s visit to Saudi Arabia was largely the result of the work of AIPAC, and even Biden was not timid in admitting that his visit was requested by Israel and that it was to its benefit. Israel is now regarded in the West as a state with highly questionable credentials. Western human rights organizations — which traditionally shielded Israel — have finally reached a consensus that Israel is an apartheid state.
Ukraine is the new Israel, and that will limit the Israeli ability to launch wars — especially protracted ones.
As`ad AbuKhalil is a Lebanese-American professor of political science at California State University, Stanislaus. He is the author of the Historical Dictionary of Lebanon (1998), Bin Laden, Islam and America’s New War on Terrorism (2002) and The Battle for Saudi Arabia (2004). He tweets as @asadabukhalil
The views expressed are solely those of the author and may or may not reflect those of Consortium News.
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For me, the author shows his hand and bias when he sights “Zionists’ loss of control of Western media narratives” as a reason for Israel’s declining influence. That’s a tired myth!
According to Dispensationalist theory, a Russian invasion of Israel will install the Antichrist in Jerusalem, leading to the return of Jesus, the Last Judgement, etc. Ukraine is not in any of the apocalyptic books of the Bible. US vaters take these fantasies seriously and so do many US congressmen.
This analysis is good as far as it goes. But it omits one level of controllers. The US, UK, EU, NATO are puppets of a financier cartel headquartered in the City of London (with a major branch in Wall Street). This cartel came to power as the financial center of the British East India Company, took over the UK and the British Empire, and later the US. Israel has been their pet project.
They have long sought world hegemony using the UK and US militaries as their main muscle. The Wolfowitz Doctrine and the PNAC plan put this in writing. Hence the desire to subdue Russia and China.
The current attack on Russia started with the overthrow of Ukraine’s elected government in 2014. Their controlled mainstream media reports none of this.
But now it appears there may be a secondary objective in the Ukraine conflict. Because of the problems Israel is experiencing as listed in this article, plus the rendering of Israel as less habitable due to climate change, they may be planning to move their pet project of Israel to Ukraine. Zelensky has declared that Ukraine will become “a big Israel”, where in “all institutions, supermarkets, cinemas, there will be people with weapons”. Zelenskyy says wants Ukraine to become a ‘big Israel’
hXXps://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/4/5/zelenskyy-says-wants-ukraine-to-become-a-big-israel
Why would Ukraine need soldiers in all the supermarkets and cinemas? In Israel they’re needed to suppress the indigenous population, the Palestinians. This implies that in Ukraine it would be to suppress the Ukrainians.
This could explain why Zelensky is sending Ukrainian men of all ages to die by the thousands on the Russian front, reported here by The Duran. Botched Kherson counteroffensive. Zaporozhye NPP Hollywood raid. Part 1
hXXps://rumble.com/v1idth7-botched-kherson-counteroffensive.-zaporozhye-npp-hollywood-raid.-part-1.html
So the Ukraine conflict could now also be an ethnic cleansing of Ukraine, creating another “land without a people”. Like the Palestinians, the remaining Ukrainians will be livestock, to be herded around by armed Israeli soldiers.
A fast-developing story. I quote a tweet from Alex Rubinstein, referencing his own Grayzone article:
NATO’s Atlantic Council has proposed apartheid Israel as a blueprint for post-war Ukraine.
The paper was authored by Obama’s former ambassador to Tel Aviv, @DanielBShapiro
now an Israeli spy-tech consultant.
Here is the art. Res ipsa loquitur.
hxxps://thegrayzone.com/2022/09/17/zelensky-nato-ukraine-big-israel/
As the world changes, some day soon one of the great Middle East oil monarchies will fail and set a precedent for others to also be overthrown, meaning the global oil cartel will significantly waiver in it abilities to supply the developed world — including to a lesser degree India and China — with the fuel resources it needs to remain as it is, the great economic pretender. It has always been so throughout human history and is unlikely to ever change until rapid Climate Change cripples and destroys Sapien dominion across the planet. And that’s now almost irreversible. Meanwhile, the great worldwide economic recession has begun to be unleashed and will speed all the aforementioned.
It is almost amusing to see the three lighthouses (was that it??) in charge of us all. The USA, allegedly the leader of the free world, has sunk to the squalid lowest levels of human decency by supporting these three while deriding the sovereign nations which are considered not only enemies but lacking in democracy and freedom, “our values”!!!
Israel has several big problems now.
Every Israeli war in the past features American cargo planes delivering more missiles from American stocks. And it doesn’t seem to take long before they are calling on Uncle Sam to restock their magazines. Now, the American stocks are very low, with everything already shipped off to Ukraine.
Killing Russians is now more important than killing Arabs, at least to Uncle Sam and his crowd. And a society built on racist hate tends to have to focus on one hatred at a time. If not, it generates hate-fatigue in a society, which is dangerous to politicians who thrive on hate. Hating everyone is too close to hating no-one, and American society can not exist without hating someone. We all learned that in American high schools.
Secondly, Israel is facing the prospect of a war on all of its borders at the same time. For a long time, Israel has been able to sub-divide its aggression …. fight in Syria now, then later in Gaza and so on. Now Israel faces a Hezbollah force to the north that feels like they beat the Israelis the last time. And that force may get more support from within Lebanon if they are fighting for Lebanon to keep its own gas. Syria now has a battle-hardened army from fighting against ISIS and Al-Qaeda and mercenaries. Even Gaza is now looking like they can give as good as they get in the last round of mutual murders. Plus, the Israeli attacks on the West Bank are now generating steady armed opposition to every raid.
So, if another war begins, Israel won’t have any ‘quiet fronts’.
And, Israeli behavior seem determined to start a war. Regular invasions of the sacred mosque in Jerusalem. Regular killings of Palestinians. Not seen in the American ‘news’, but an almost daily headline in some parts of the world. An American-Israeli push to try to steal Lebanon’s natural gas. An Israeli political system where starting a war appears a way to win an election.
It is always such a shame to see a bully over-reach themselves.
A couple of UKR/Israel ‘connectioms’ might be relevant today:
1. I saw this video as a PBS documentary recently, now available only via their Passport sub – about a famous UKR refugee. Long trailer/promo here:
Upheaval | Israel Through the Eyes of Menachem Begin
hxxps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=osOVYiRg7mU&ab_channel=B%27naiB%27rithInt%27l
2. Latest anti-RUS hysteria concerns their inability to protect Haredi pilgrims to UKR:
hxxps://www.timesofisrael.com/russia-says-it-cant-protect-uman-pilgrims-denies-claim-it-plans-to-attack-them/
I might add an instance of my own ‘Begin’ op: an infamous footnote in a phil. essay, during the Sandinista revolution – before the Oliver North et al. ‘Irangate’ disclosures. Begin approved the supply of arms to the Nicaraguan regime – if only as an undercover favor to US to hide fact that ‘we’ were actively supporting yet another S, Am. dictator (Anastasio Somoza). This connection is probably still very active, ranging from Stuxnet to the now-disclaimed spy software stuff; i.e. any ‘project’ that Biden or Blinken would not want the general public to know about. Tony was of course active in the Hillary coup v. Manuel Zelaya in Honduras not so long ago….
At this point in the tragic development of events in Ukraine, we would all do well to watch again the eloquent speech by Martin Kimani, Kenya’s ambassador to the UN Security Council, delivered February 22 of this year in response to the recognition by Russia of Lugansk and Donetsk as independent states. Ambassador Kimani reminds us that “almost every African country was birthed by the end of empire” and that it is extremely dangerous to continuously look backward and try to “stoke the embers of dead empires” in an effort to re-draw borders to achieve some “perfect” division of territories into ethnically pure enclaves. The proper path is to look forward, not backward into history, and forge progress by reaching out with the hand of peace to our brethren across country borders, even if those borders are not quite to our satisfaction. If only this wise advice from Africa had been heeded, think of how much death, suffering and destruction would have been avoided.
What’s funny is Israel wants to join sco now
Israel with all its lobbies and propaganda machines will undoubtedly redouble their efforts to reclaim their top spot as the ultimate predator parasite of US financial and military lifeblood, motivated by proxy hegemony and a hefty dose of political bribery and blackmail.
wish it true but Doubt it, I wish it were so, Ukraine is all but done, Uncle Sam’s latest fail.