The Neocons’ Waterloo

Exclusive: The last week has witnessed what might be called the Neocons’ Waterloo as their bid to reclaim power was beaten back by President Obama’s reelection and their last major government ally, CIA Director David Petraeus, resigned amid a sex scandal, Robert Parry reports.

By Robert Parry

The decisive defeat of Mitt Romney in the presidential race and the forced resignation of ex-Gen. David Petraeus as CIA director have marginalized America’s neoconservatives more than at any time in the past several decades, confining them mostly to Washington think tanks and media opinion circles.

The neocons bet heavily on a Romney victory as they envisioned a return to power, like what they enjoyed under President George W. Bush when they paved the way for the U.S. invasion of Iraq and dreamed of forcing “regime change” in Iran and Syria. During the campaign, Romney largely delegated his foreign policy to a cast of neocon retreads from the Bush era.

Neoconservative pundit William Kristol. (Photo credit: Gage Skidmore)

Yet, amid the wreckage of the past week – with Romney blamed for a disastrous campaign and Petraeus embarrassed by a tawdry extramarital affair – the neocons now find themselves without a strong ally anywhere inside the Executive Branch. And with Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, who sometimes sided with them, expected to leave shortly, the neocons could be even more isolated in the weeks ahead.

This reversal of fortune has led some key neocons to send out what amount to peace feelers to the Obama administration. The Weekly Standard editor William Kristol and Washington Post columnist (and Brookings Institution senior fellow) Robert Kagan have joined in urging Republicans to show more flexibility regarding their opposition to tax hikes on the wealthy.

Kristol made his views known on weekend talk shows, declaring on Fox News: “It won’t kill the country if we raise taxes a little bit on millionaires.” Kagan penned an op-ed column for the Washington Post that stated: “It seems pretty obvious that a compromise will require both tax reform, including if necessary some tax increases, and entitlement reform, since those programs are the biggest driver of the fiscal crisis.”

Some on the Left have cited the tax flexibility of Kristol, in particular, as an indication of Republican willingness to compromise seriously with President Obama in a second term. However, the truth is that neocons have never been economic conservatives. Instead, they have favored lavishing money on military programs and financing warfare to implement their imperial strategy of imposing political change by force. The budget has never been a high priority.

A Split on the Right

Over the past three-plus decades, the neocons have joined with cultural and economic conservatives more as a marriage of convenience than as a sign of true affection and shared values. Now, as the Religious Right and the Ayn Rand ideologues face harder times politically, the neocons are pondering a trial separation, if not an outright divorce.

The signs of a split among conservatives may be welcome news for President Obama who has been contemplating a number of controversial foreign policy moves in the post-election environment, including reaching an accommodation with Iran over its nuclear program. Harsh economic sanctions on Iran appear to have made Iranian leaders more serious about striking a deal and Obama is expected to seek a resolution in the weeks ahead.

However, the neocons have remained hostile to any concessions toward Iran. If Mitt Romney had won the presidency, the neocons likely would have hijacked the sanctions from their stated goal of achieving Iranian concessions on nuclear issues and transformed them into an economic club to bludgeon “regime change.” That could have set the stage for another Middle East war.

The significance of Petraeus’s resignation as CIA director is that the ex-four-star general was one of the neocons’ last insiders who could be counted on to frustrate Obama’s negotiations with Iran. Last year, Petraeus complicated U.S.-Iranian ties by pushing a dubious story about Iran planning a terrorist attack in Washington.

The White House and the Justice Department doubted that Iranian leaders were implicated in the harebrained scheme to assassinate the Saudi ambassador by blowing up a Washington restaurant. But Petraeus’s CIA embraced the suspicions and won over the Washington press corps, which largely swallowed the story whole.

It has since turned out that the central figure in the plot, an Iranian-American car dealer Mansour Arbabsiar, was diagnosed by doctors from his own defense team as suffering a bipolar disorder. In other words, his lawyers say he has a severe psychiatric ailment that affected his grasp of reality.

Nevertheless, the blaring news of the terror plot – echoing across U.S. front pages and American TV screens – strained the delicate negotiations between the Obama administration and the Iranian leadership. So, Obama’s inner circle saw a silver lining in Petraeus’s sudden departure: this neocon ally will not be around to sabotage talks again.

The Accommodating Obama

After winning the presidency in 2008, Obama extended an olive branch to the Republicans, the neocons and much of the Washington Establishment by retaining President George W. Bush’s last Defense Secretary Robert Gates and Bush’s military high command, including Petraeus who was then head of Central Command and thus overseeing the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Amid media applause for this “team of rivals,” Obama also picked Hillary Clinton as his Secretary of State. As a New York senator, Clinton had developed close ties to the neocons and generally supported their hawkish positions on Iraq and Afghanistan.

Obama’s generosity, which included a decision not to seek any accountability for war crimes committed by the Bush administration, won him little reciprocity, however. Secretary Gates and Gen. Petraeus, with the tacit support of Secretary Clinton, blocked Obama’s interest in hearing less aggressive options on Afghanistan. They essentially steered him into support of a major troop “surge.”

Behind the young President’s back, Gen. Petraeus even mounted a P.R. campaign in support of a larger and longer Afghan War. In 2009, when Obama was weighing what to do about Afghanistan, Petraeus personally arranged extraordinary access to U.S. field commanders for two of his influential neocon friends, Max Boot of the Council on Foreign Relations and Frederick Kagan of the American Enterprise Institute.

“Fears of impending disaster are hard to sustain … if you actually spend some time in Afghanistan, as we did recently at the invitation of General David Petraeus, chief of U.S. Central Command,” they wrote upon their return when they penned a glowing report in about the prospects for success in Afghanistan – if only President Obama sent more troops and committed the United States to stay in the war for the long haul.

In mid-2011, Gates finally left the Pentagon, with Obama replacing him with CIA Director Leon Panetta, who had emerged as a trusted Obama adviser. To fill the CIA job, Obama named Petraeus partly to prevent the ambitious general from launching a political career as a Republican, including possibly becoming the GOP’s presidential standard-bearer in 2012.

Obama’s move was risky, in that Petraeus could use his position at the CIA to leak out information to his neocon allies that could undercut Obama’s foreign policies, a possibility that appears to have come to pass in the alleged Iranian assassination plot.

So, when the White House learned that Petraeus had entangled himself in a sex scandal, there was no rush to help the CIA chief extricate himself. Rather than sweeping the scandal under the rug and letting Petraeus stay on – as he apparently expected – or concocting a cover story for a graceful exit, the Obama administration let the story play out in all its messy details.

Decks Cleared

Between the outcome of the election and the departure of Petraeus, President Obama now has the chance to take full control of his foreign policy. The neocons also find themselves sitting on the outside looking in more so than at any time since the 1970s when they emerged as a group of hawkish ex-Democrats and embittered ex-Leftists who defected to Ronald Reagan.

Many neocons worked on Reagan’s presidential campaign in 1980 and were rewarded with prominent jobs on President Reagan’s foreign policy team, the likes of Elliott Abrams, Richard Perle, Paul Wolfowitz and Frank Gaffney. Though their influence ebbed and flowed over the 12 years of Republican rule, the neocons established themselves as a potent force in Washington policymaking.

Even after President Bill Clinton took office, the neocons retained some measure of influence in his administration and became favorites on newspaper op-ed pages and at powerful think tanks, including some that were regarded as center and center-left, such as the Council on Foreign Relations and the Brookings Institution.

The neocons reached the apex of their power under President George W. Bush when they persuaded the inexperienced Bush to respond to the 9/11 attacks by invading and occupying Iraq, which had nothing to do with al-Qaeda or 9/11.

Iraq had long been on the neocon target list as a threat to Israel. The neocons also envisioned using occupied Iraq as a base for forcing “regime change” in Iran and Syria, with the ultimate goal of allowing Israel to dictate peace terms to its near-in enemies, Lebanon’s Hezbollah and Palestine’s Hamas.

The neocon hubris in Iraq contributed to the geopolitical disaster there as nearly 4,500 U.S. soldiers died and hundreds of billions of dollars were wasted. Finally, neocon power began to recede. By the end of his administration, Bush was resisting pressure from Vice President Dick Cheney and the neocons around him to bomb Iran.

Still, when Barack Obama won the presidency in 2008, the neocon influence remained strong enough in Official Washington that the new President left in place a number of key neocon allies, especially Gates and Petraeus, and named Hillary Clinton as Secretary of State.

Though Obama upset the neocons by completing the military withdrawal from Iraq, he accepted their plan for an expanded war in Afghanistan, and he continued much of Bush’s “war on terror,” albeit without the name.

Turning on Obama

Obama’s concessions garnered some favorable neocon commentaries in important news outlets, such as The Washington Post, but the neocons still rallied behind Mitt Romney’s campaign to oust Obama in 2012. Romney assembled a team of Bush retreads to write his foreign policy white paper, “An American Century.”

The title was an obvious homage to the neocon Project for the New American Century, which in the 1990s built the ideological framework for the disastrous Iraq War and other “regime change” strategies. Romney recruited Eliot Cohen, a founding member of the Project for the New American Century and a protégé of prominent neocons Paul Wolfowitz and Richard Perle, to write the foreword.

Romney’s white paper chastised Obama for pulling out the 30,000 “surge troops” from Afghanistan by mid-2012 and conducting a gradual withdrawal of the remaining 70,000 by the end of 2014. Instead, Romney’s white paper argued that Obama should have followed the advice of field commanders like then-Gen. David Petraeus and made withdrawals either more slowly or contingent on U.S. military success.

However, like Napoleon seeking to regain his former glory through an audacious challenge to his entrenched adversaries, the neocons encountered a Waterloo instead. Their strategic defeat began with Romney’s loss to Obama on Nov. 6 but it then grew worse with the humiliating resignation of Petraeus from the CIA. Now, the neocons are left with no major foothold within the Executive Branch.

But no need for tears. The neocons still retain their lucrative niches at prominent think tanks, as talking heads on TV and on influential op-ed pages.

Investigative reporter Robert Parry broke many of the Iran-Contra stories for The Associated Press and Newsweek in the 1980s. You can buy his new book, America’s Stolen Narrative, either in print here or as an e-book (from Amazon and barnesandnoble.com).

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20 comments on “The Neocons’ Waterloo

  1. Matt Palmer on said:

    The neo-con men still retain all that money, and do not forget Citizen Kanes United.

  2. Jym Allyn on said:

    Matt,

    I am embarrassed that I don’t get the joke.

    Are you talking about the TV Faux Heads or the the criminal enterprise called the Koke (sic) Brothers?

    Either way, the departure of Petraeus was ironically wonderful news since he was the architect of the lies of the Iraq surge and the Afghan pacification.

    Too many American soldiers have died because of his stupid ego.

  3. Jym Allyn on said:

    Ooops.

    I didn’t read the previous article – “‘Citizens United’ Still a Threat” By Michael Winship.

    I now get the joke. But as long as there are TV Faux Heads, we will still have our sanity threatened.

    And Matt, the joke IS funny. Scary, but funny.

  4. Let me set some fact straight from Israeli media.

    “Obama’s re-election is good for Israel,” both Netanyahu and Barak said as reported by daily Jerusalem Post and Ha’aretz.

    “The great majority of neconservatives are Jewish,” Ha’aretz, December 2006.

    “Gen. David Petraeus is “military poodle of Zionism,” professor James Petras, 2008.

    Petraeus was demonized and got out of way so he doesn’t spill beans about Israeli false flag operation inside CIA compound in Benghazi.

    http://rehmat1.com/2012/11/11/gen-petraeus-sacked-over-his-mistress/

    • Rehmat,

      After pushing the Jews for Romney idea for months you now expect the Israeli Govt not to congratulate the winner. You expect Netanyahu to say, “The American election sucked. We backed the other guy”?

      Dude, Israel has a Free Press. You can find articles & commentators to say just about anything.

  5. Hillary on said:

    William Kristol neocon and Jew is a traitor to the United States of America.

    He strongly promoted the Iraq war that cost the U.S. trillions of dollars ,4,000 dead and 49,000 crippled US military personnel and 4,000,000 murdered ,displaced orphaned and diseased Iraqis and devastated a whole country.

    Today instead of being on trial for war crimes at the Hague he is allowed to
    persuade dumbed down Americans into attacking Iran by repeating his propaganda lies.

    It is blatantly obvious that these wars are good for Israel and bad for the US

    This conflict between Israel and her Muslim neighbors was written into the Zionist script and the US is presently at war with Islam as a result.

    With the amounts of depleted Uranium we have deposited in Iraq , Afghanistan , Lebanon and Palestine etc etc we may expect soaring rates in WORLD WIDE birth defects and cancers for for generations and generations.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V2BuDTMlFZM

    • Herr Hillary you need a jackboot from rehmatshit.. Put on your burqa and please emigrate to your beloved medieval sand paradises.

      • borat,

        Frau Hillary needs to focus on her family, her Church, & providing more Children for the Reich. Or at least Herr Goebbels says so.

        • Ah yes, I do get lonely as the Jewish American bulwark against the medievalist sand paradise consortinazis!

  6. nora king on said:

    Barak Obama is lucky. No president has ever been in the situation to lose the CIA cheif and then turn around and replace a joint cheif and maybe even axe the head of FBI if there is any questionable part of the investigation of the CIA cheif, if. That was the dream of Nixon, of Kennedy, of Johnson. J.Edgar had sex files on everyone! He had to die to leave office.

    Paula Broadwell is a neo-con national security person. She spoke about CIA interrogation in the Bengazi annex and detainees to Colorado Republicans for thirty bucks a plate. She was waiting for the story to be vetted……why are sexting habits more in the news than the more pointed political aspects of the story? All the players in this story, right down to the socialite twins, were in swing states. All with a stated party affiliation appear to be Republican. Petraeus leaked to other neo-cons and Paula Broadwell, regardless of sex partner, is an urban counter-insurgency neo-con who tried to put some scare and confusion out right before an election.

  7. Rather than sweeping the scandal under the rug and letting Petraeus stay on – as he apparently expected – or concocting a cover story for a graceful exit, the Obama administration let the story play out in all its messy details.

    Do you have information to support the idea that Petraeus expected to stay on? I ask because I haven’t seen that anywhere else. I do find your theories more persuasive than any others I’ve seen.

  8. David L Cassidy on said:

    A friend responded to this article: (How would Robert Parry?)
    OPPS!
    Guess the author (Robert Parry) was also wrong about Holder:
    According to msnbc “FBI Director Robert Mueller said many lives could have been lost. But Preet Bharara, the U.S. attorney in Manhattan, said no explosives were placed and no one was in any danger because of the informant’s cooperation with authorities.

    Attorney General Eric Holder, appearing at a news conference with Mueller and Bharara, declared, “The United States is committed to holding Iran responsible for its actions.”

    Shortly afterward, the Treasury Department announced economic penalties against Arbabsiar and four Quds Force officers it says were involved.
    Asked whether the plot was blessed by the very top echelons of the Iranian government, Holder said the Justice Department was not making that accusation. But he said the conspiracy was conceived, sponsored and directed from Tehran. The U.S. describes the Quds Force as Iran’s primary foreign action arm for supporting terrorists and extremists around the world.”

  9. David L Cassidy on said:

    Further comment: (How would Robert Parry respond to this comment?)
    The Iranian plot was a criminal complaint with prior investigation unsealed by the US Attorney General and the Director of the FBI on October 11, 2011, only one month after Petreaus started at CIA.

    This guy says, “The White House and the Justice Department doubted that Iranian leaders were implicated in the harebrained scheme to assassinate the Saudi ambassador by blowing up a Washington restaurant. But Petraeus’s CIA embraced the suspicions and won over the Washington press corps, which largely swallowed the story whole.”

    Petraeus wasn’t even at CIA during the investigation and the CIA could hardly could be called Petreaus’s CIA when he’d barely moved into his offices. The author provides no evidence that the CIA, before or after Petraeus, had any influence on this Iranian investigation. Just because the White House and crony Holder doubted does not mean the story is false or planted by the pre Pretraeus CIA. Even Carl Levin, the liberal Dem Chair of Senate Armed Services committee said it may be an act of war against US.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011_alleged_Iran_assassination_plot

    • David – you just discredited yourself by quoting two pro-Israel Zionist Jew sources – Wikipedia and Carl Levin to support your lie.

      It was David Petraeus (with Jewish family roots) who cooked-up the lie that Iranian agents tried to murder Saudi Arabian ambassador in Washington last year. The faked charges further strained relations with Iran, making a possible military confrontation more likely.

      As it turned out, the case was based primarily on statements from an Iranian-American car dealer Mansour Arbabsiar, who clumsily tried to hire drug dealers to murder Saudi Ambassador Adel Al-Jubeir, though Arbabsiar was actually talking to a Drug Enforcement Agency informant. Arbabsiar pled guilty last month as his lawyers argued that their client suffers from a bipolar disorder. In other words, Petraeus and his CIA escalated an international crisis largely on the word of a person diagnosed by doctors of his own defense team as having a severe psychiatric disorder.

      However, Petraeus made one mistake in his military career. In 2010, in a written testimony to the US Joint Chiefs of Staff – he blamed Israel for faning hatred toward America within the Muslim world – for which he was sacked last week by the Jewish lobby groups.

      http://rehmat1.com/2012/11/15/gen-petraeus-and-the-jews/

  10. F. G. Sanford on said:

    Suppose, just suppose, that evil cabal of Neocons put him up to it? Surely they must have known that a naïve, innocent, dedicated West Point graduate like Major Broadwell would fall for his masculine charms should he decide to employ them. His commanding stature, chiseled features and raw masculinity would be more than any shy, homely subordinate female could resist! Then, those evil Neocons tipped off that bored socialite cougar and her twin sister that they were being upstaged by someone who lacked their international connections, political affiliations and certainly couldn’t hold a candle to their worldly ways and feminine charms. They were sure to be incensed by the very idea that a presumptuous little upstart could out-flank them on the boudoir battlefield. Of course, they must have known that the boobsy-twins had a friend with a badge AND a chest to pin it on. He had to be their friend, otherwise, he would have shown the badge instead of the chest. (I wonder if he waxes his chest too, or just shaves it to maintain that abrasive stubble that drives them wild!) Of all the potential bag-men they could have gone to when the scandal didn’t get any traction, they picked Poindexter look-a-like Eric Cantor, hoping to either to toss the twins some raw meat or get the press involved in time for the post-debate dry-spell. I would have gone right to Nancy Pelosi or Lindsey Graham. (The bare chest would have gotten his attention right away; ) When nobody took the bait and time was running out, they got that poor, gullible sweet thing to divulge some super-secret stuff about prisoners in the consular compound to try and pique somebody’s interest. Still, nobody took the bait, and the election was getting awful close. So, they had to take “shirtless guy” off the job and get a Marine involved. He could handle the truth. John McCain is quick to confirm we haven’t gotten it yet. Obviously, McCain is right: if I had to spend the time it takes to write 30,000 pages of email, I wouldn’t know what was going on in Libya either! When nobody got the joke in time for the election, they had to get poor Dave to deliver the punch-line himself! Speaking of punch-lines, I thought that thing about Citizens Kane referred to the rich corporate bastard who tried to buy politics, as portrayed by Orson Welles in the movie based on William Randolph Hearst. But hey, maybe it was Karl and Ilsa Koch, or the Koch brothers, or some other fascist philanthropist, and I just ain’t got no, as Ian Fleming put it, “sensa yuma”. But I’m sure President Obama is laughing his ass off.

  11. Coleen Rowley on said:

    Why is Israel again bombing Gaza? Did Obama OK it as he did before? If the neo-cons have met their Waterloo, why does Obama not tell Netanyahu to stop the bombing or he’ll ask the US to stop giving military aid to Israel?

    • When Hamas has sworn Israel’s destruction, and sent thousands of rockets into Israel, what the hell do you expect. Should we let these iranian backed sons of bitches to anniliate Israel?

  12. The New Cons- How much more honest can they get about themselves? Maybe if we put it on bumperstickers their constituents will finally get it.

  13. Kirsten on said:

    Big mistake googling “independent investigative reporting” because this is shoddy and editorial type work. Extremely liberal in bias. Its a shame that reporters of any venue are afraid to let the facts stand for themselves. Pathetic, really.